The Property Casualty Insurers Association of America made headlines a couple of weeks ago by agreeing to join with ProtectingAmerica.org to fight for a national catastrophe fund. Then they rocked the industry yesterday by announcing they were dropping out of the advocacy group. That's remarkable, but it doesn't surprise me, as insurers appear to be running around like chickens with their heads cut off when it comes to natural disaster coverage.
At least with terrorism, we have a temporary federal reinsurance program in place to make sure another 9/11 doesn't bankrupt the entire industry and take the U.S. economy with it.
But we unfortunately cannot say the same for natural disasters--and that's not likely to change as long as the industry itself is at odds over what to do. Indeed, while insurers are united on extending TRIA protection, they are badly split on how to handle Mother Nature's threats. The debate is devolving into a shouting match.
On one side is ProtectingAmerica.org--backed by Allstate, which wants a federal-state system of funds to backstop insurers after catastrophes. The group thought it had received a badly needed boost by convincing the PCI--led by Ernie Csiszar, former NAIC president--to join their quest, until PCI pulled the rug out from under the alliance. (Click here for the full story.) It couldn't have been easy for PCI to stick with their commitment--not after Liberty Mutual, one of their biggest members, went on record as strongly opposing the cat fund scheme.
PCI's pullout could be the deathblow for the ProtectingAmerica.org campaign. What do you think? Please comment at the end of this blog entry.
The most outspoken critic of the group thus far has been the American Insurance Association, whose senior vice president for public affairs, Julie Rochman, said, "we must move away from a post-disaster ‘spread the risk to everyone across the country’ mentality, to a system that honestly reflects the higher risks and costs of coastal development.”
AIA put forth its own proposal, including risk-based pricing, stricter (and more strongly enforced) building codes, inclusion of hurricane risk in land-use planning, creation of tax-advantaged Catastrophe Savings Accounts, and matching government loss control grants.
ProtectingAmerica.org promptly hammered AIA, contending the group had “cobbled a catastrophe response plan that is inadequate, incomplete and insufficient. By failing to include a privately financed catastrophe fund, the AIA plan endorses the risky status quo and depends upon a system of year-to-year reinsurance contracts at ever-escalating prices with no lasting or accumulated protection for homeowners.”
AIA President Marc Racicot then bashed “political thinking that would have us believe there is an easy way to address these complex issues. Our agenda is based upon proven principles, such as loss prevention and risk-based pricing.”
What's tragic is that the opposing positions are not mutually exclusive. While AIA and Liberty Mutual are correct to push for premiums that reflect the risks insurers take in stormy regions, as well as to demand better loss mitigation efforts, are disaster funds such a bad idea in addition to these other steps?
If opponents to Allstate and company don't want to see such risks better spread, what is their alternative, given the chronic shortage of capacity in cat-prone regions? Also, can’t the same argument opponents make against a cat fund hold true for TRIA, as skeptics claim terrorism only threatens major cities, such as New York?
I am not prepared to endorse creation of a national disaster fund, but I don’t want to see the idea shouted down this early in the debate.
Congress can't stand insurance, and they won't budge on any related issue if the industry is split. That leaves us with the status quo, which is unacceptable. It's time to stop yelling at one another and start talking about an acceptable compromise package Congress can pass.
What are your thoughts?

Comments (7)
Thank goodness that some in our industry have resisted the idea of a national disaster cat fund. Why on earth would we want to spread the cost of a fundamentally underpriced exposure that does not impact a very large segment of the consuming public. Establishing such a fund most likely would allow insurers and legislators to defer or otherwise lose focus on the kinds of solutions offered up by the AIA and others.
If home prices can rise dramatically in an open market, so too should the price to the consumer to protect that asset against natural disasters if they choose to live in those regions. Providing a subsidy to a beachfront vacation homeowner isn't what insurance is all about.
Let's fix the fundamental problem of building poorly (or at all) in cat-prone areas, not incorporating true risk costs into pricing, so that the consumer is aware of, and bears a greater share of the risk, while allowing insurers and reinsurers the ability to establish adequate cat reserves in their own companies if they choose to be in the business.
Then, and only then, should we address the residual need for some more reasonable national disaster cat fund.
Posted by Frank Cacchione | September 13, 2006 12:03 PM
Posted on September 13, 2006 12:03
Frank,
You make some excellent points, but couldn't the same argument be made against TRIA--that terrorism is an underpriced risk facing a limited number of target areas? Or are you against TRIA's extension as well?
Sf
Posted by Sam Friedman | September 13, 2006 12:17 PM
Posted on September 13, 2006 12:17
I do not think that the comparison to TRIA holds true with respect to the personal responsibility portion of the solution.
As a homeowner in Florida, I can choose to improve my home to make it wind-resistant, or I can even move away from the coast. Whatever decision I make, I should pay my share of the costs for insurance.
I think that is where the AIA proposal is sound, and any solution that allows individuals to avoid personal responsibility for their decisions will have adverse social impacts.
In the case of TRIA, I am not sure that loss mitigation or avoidance at the individual level is practical, nor would it be fair to surcharge people living in NYC or DC for a problem that we all share collectively.
Posted by Werner Kruck | September 13, 2006 12:36 PM
Posted on September 13, 2006 12:36
I tend to agree with Werner at the individual level, where I guess the comparable option would be to leave the country to avoid the risk.
Also, a terrorist act is an act against all of us in a different sense. Our politicians consider us at war with a different kind of enemy. In war especially, we are the UNITED States, and our risk and loss has always been shared.
That said, larger corporations and real estate developers do have a greater responsibility to build safer high rises and otherwise mitigate business risk than they had considered in the past. And this responsibility needs to be considered as part of any TRIA extension.
Posted by Frank Cacchione | September 13, 2006 1:50 PM
Posted on September 13, 2006 13:50
I was pretty confused, apparently like a lot of other people, about how a catastrophe fund would work and if it would result in my clients having to subsidize those residing in disaster-prone areas.
The fact is, H.R. 4366 specifically states that in order for a state cat fund to qualify for backing by the federal fund, the rates for the state fund must be actuarially sound, and that there be no cross-subsidies between one line of coverage and another.
It seems to me that if there were an ultimate reinsurance facility that would cap high-end exposures, rates for homeowners would be tempered because we wouldn't have to rely on unlimited traditional reinsurance at ever-escalating prices.
The idea of a cat fund earning tax-free interest, whose resources were used to cap mega-exposures, and whose earnings could help enforce better building codes, land use and emergency response programs makes enormous sense.
Frankly, it is an embarrassment to the industry that there is a shouting match going on over such an important national issue.
Alexis Neuman
Posted by Alexis Neuman | September 14, 2006 10:50 AM
Posted on September 14, 2006 10:50
We have been spared, so far, during this hurricane season. There has been relatively little activity in the Gulf and Atlantic states. But, as we all know, that could change in an instant.
The current split in the insurance industry is doing little except preserving the status quo--a status quo that relies on lots of luck, unlimited exposure and consumers who are confronted with larger premiums and fewer choices.
There seems to be universal agreement on the need for better planning, tougher building codes, better enforcement and more effective response mechanisms.
But the only proposal that offers any hope for funding those kinds of programs is HR 4366, which would allow a small portion of the investment earnings of a state-sanctioned private catastrophe fund to be used as an on-going source of funds for those programs.
For the industry as a whole, the comprehensive solution offered in HR 4366 would provide a needed degree of certainty with respect to the cost of reinsurance, would strictly prohibit subsidies between lines of insurance and--because state cat fund rates would be required to be risk-based--would eliminate unfair and costly subsidies between residents of high-risk and low-risk regions.
The so-called split in the industry may not be as substantial as has been portrayed. The two largest writers of homeowners' coverage are already on board with HR 4366, as are more than 100 first responder organizations, small and large businesses and a host of other groups concerned about how America prepares and protects itself from the onslaught of catastrophes.
It would be truly catastrophic if the industry remained divided, the status quo were preserved and a massive hurricane struck or earthquake rocked this nation.
Pete McDonough
Posted by Pete McDonough | September 14, 2006 1:09 PM
Posted on September 14, 2006 13:09
Your editorial concerning "An Industry Divided" was, as always, interesting.
Robert P. Hartwig, executive vice president and chief economist of the Insurance Information Institute, gave an excellent presentation at the annual NAMIC convention last week.
The information given concerning natural disasters was fact-based and very much supports AIA's position that natural disaster coverage honesty reflects the higher risk and cost.
Many of us in the Midwest without the ocean view are fed up with subsidizing the poor folks along the coast through increased reinsurance costs, state and federal taxes, etc.
Mr. Hartwig's complete session is available at http://namic.org/topnews/060922st2.asp.
Posted by Richard Main | September 27, 2006 5:14 PM
Posted on September 27, 2006 17:14